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Showing posts with label Allen Craig. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Allen Craig. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 26, 2013

BRAGGING RIGHTS 2013: Felipe's Dreadful Draft Experience

Jay Bruce will be counted on to provide power and run-production in 2013.
(photo courtesy of Mike McCann's FIELD OF FOTOS)


Felipe M

I have been playing in a keeper league for the last 10 seasons or so.  The League is Mardi Gras Madness.  My team name: Black Hole Army named after the villains of this video game:


Sunday night was the draft from hell for my keeper league's annual draft.  Aside from the fact that the league’s draft module kept breaking down on us, it seemed every time I was getting ready to draft somebody, another owner would swoop in and swipe that player out of my hands.  So I ended up selecting a lot of players that I really was not excited to have on my team, but these will be the guys I will be going to war with in this 2013 season:

KEEPERS
  • Carlos Santana--C
  • Edwin Encarnacion—1B
  • Ian Kinsler—2B
  • Ryan Braun--LF
  • Allen Craig--RF
  • Jay Bruce--DH
  • Jason Motte--P

I actually like these players as they were the core to my run at the title last season only to fall short in the championship game.  Santana is an elite backstop and still young enough to fulfill potential.  Encarnacion and Craig had breakout years last season and their respective teams consider them part of their future.  Kinsler is still one of the best 2B in all of baseball.  Braun is arguably one of the best hitters in the league.  Meanwhile, Bruce can supply points by the truckloads due to his power bat and Motte can rack up the saves because of his power arm.  Unfortunately, Motte is expected to be placed on the DL to start the season with elbow issues—bummer.  Recently picked up Mitchell Boggs off waivers to offset the Motte injury. 
So coming into the draft, I have a few positions on offense to fill out, but I would have to focus on pitching, pitching, and pitching.  Will this strategy pay off?  It would have to because technically, coming into this draft, I have no pitchers.  Here are the results:

DRAFTED PLAYERS
  • Martin Prado—3B
  • Jordan Zimmerman—P
  • B.J. Upton—CF
  • Desmond Jennings—CF
  • J.J. Putz—P
  • Huston Street—P
  • Brandon McCarthy—P
  • Tommy Milone—P
  • Tim Hudson—P
  • Andy Pettitte—P
  • Jedd Gyorko—3B
  • Danny Espinosa—SS
  • Gavin Floyd—P
  • A.J. Griffin—P
  • Ricky Nolasco—P

Clearly, other than Zimmerman (whom I was thinking of keeping instead of Motte until I read reports of ‘Z’ having issues with a “dead arm” earlier in the spring), a lot of the starting pitchers that I drafted this year are not my type of pitchers.  But what can I do?  All elite pitchers were kept by other teams coming into this draft.  So I was stuck selecting pitch-to-contact pitchers with good control.  Not very happy with the pitching staff, but I did what I could under the circumstances. 

I’m also not very happy with being stuck selecting both B.J.Upton and Jennings, but in the 3rd and 4th round, they seemed to be the best and most explosive players available in those two rounds. I’m not high on either one of them, but hopefully the gamble on picking the low patience/contact rate hitters will pay off in the end.

As you guys should know by now, I really like Prado and I even attempted to trade for him in the offseason, but couldn’t make a deal in time to beat our league’s offseason trade deadline.  So when I saw him available with the 11th pick overall, I did away with my “select nothing but pitchers” strategy and jumped all over the very steady, high patience/contact rate hitter.  He also qualifies at LF so the versatility is an added bonus.

Putz and Street are two of my favorite relievers in the game and somehow, I’m always lucky enough to at least have one of these pitchers in one of my teams for the last three seasons.  In my Yahoo! league, I had both of them on my team, en route to a championship game loss.  I had Street in this keeper league last season as well.  So I was more than happy to see these two closers available to bring some sort of respectability to my pitching staff.

Not happy with the Espinosa pick, but he was my “last line of defense”shortstop.  I was actually going after Elvis Andrus in the 3rd round, but he was immediately grabbed in the middle of the 2nd round.  Ian Desmond was my second choice, but somehow, he also got picked up in that same round as well.  I was so desperate for a SS, I was even thinking of picking Derek Jeter, but our resident New York Yankee fan picked him up in the 13th round.  Guess I’ll be keeping a very close eye on the waivers this season for another shortstop.

Before picking Espinosa, I rolled the dice and reached forGyorko.  As you guys should know, I’ve been excited about Gyorko for awhile now.  Whether I reached too early for him is debatable, but seeing how there were only a handful of players that I would consider selecting before him, I think I made the right choice going with Gyorko’s upside.  And he will eventually qualify at 2B as well and I have Prado manning 3B for now so Gyorko will be riding my bench for awhile until he shows that he can handle big league pitching.

Not really happy with my team, especially my pitching staff, but the best part about it is that it forced me to step out of my comfort zone and go after pitchers I would have never considered drafting in years past.  Last year, I did a good job in picking the pitchers that fit my paradigm as to what a fantasy pitcher should be.  The result last season?  I had the worst pitching staff in our league last year (I still don't know how I reached the championship game in 2012, but that's baseball).  So hopefully, this change in thought will bring me different results and put me over the hump and help me earn that elusive baseball title. 

I really like the batting lineup I have assembled: Encarnacion and Craig are not flukes, I feel this is Santana’s year to blow up, Gyorko and Prado at the hot corner, Jennings and Upton sharing duties in CF, Espinosa is a 15/15 guy, Bruce can light up the scoreboard with his power, and of course, they will all be led by Kinsler and Braun throughout the season. 
So that’s my team—what’s yours?


Monday, March 11, 2013

CATCH!: 2013 Early Pre-Rankings--RF

Joey Bats!
(photo courtesy of Mike McCann's Field of Fotos)

Felipe M

CF pre-rankings are available here.

GREEN = on my keeper team. 

TOP TIER

1. Jose Bautista: There is concern that the wrist surgery he sustained last season might have affected his power, but he's still projected to attain these ridiculous numbers.  He's hitting in a better lineup so that should equal more RBI opportunities.  He's supposed to reach an OPS of .948 per ESPN. Plus wrist injury or not, his BB:K should remain one of the best in the games.
2. Justin Upton: He's ranked very high on many "experts'" list at this position, but it's his projected OPS that we calculated (.820) that drops him down to this spot.  He still remains a very attractive option in traditional Roto-leagues where his speed/power combo can potentially net a 25/25 season or even more if he can cut back on his whiffs.
3. Giancarlo Stanton: This guy is all power!  We project him at a .955 OPS and he's supposed to hit a homerun in every 12.45 official at bats.  However, he needs to be more patient at the plate before we move him to the top spot.
4. Jason Heyward: The way I see it, Heyward is Upton's clone.  The difference is that Justin Upton has the potential to exceed his counting stats' projections plus Upton has a slightly better on-base% and a bit more patient than Heyward (doesn't say much, but we're talking about a "game of inches.")  Heyward is a solid 25/20 guy.
5. Ben Zobrist: We've marveled about Zobrist's game throughout the preseason: the versatility  the patience at the plate, the good power/speed combo.  He's a very steady player and a solid pick in any league.

SECOND TIER

6. Jay Bruce: There's only reason why you would pick this guy: POWER!  He'll most likely hurt Roto-leaguers' batting average and in points' leagues, the strikeouts will drive you nuts, but keep in mind that he can reach a respectable on-base% of .343.  35 homers and .858 OPS still makes Bruce a great source of power.
7. Bryce Harper: Harper will show that he can hang permanently in the big leagues as he enters his second season.  He's still learning the big league game, but can still be a 25/25 guy.  
8. Allen Craig: .850 OPS is what makes Craig worth a risk despite a history of injuries.  He stayed healthy last season and produced big time numbers.  Impatience at the plate is made up by a solid contact rate that has many thinking that he can flirt with a .300 batting average again. 
9. Shin-Soo Choo: If he stays healthy and can supply a bit more power, Choo could be a 20/20 player.  His power has sort of dip as he's projected to hit one home run in every 30.8 at bats and SLG% of .441.  Nevertheless, he's supposed to be a line-drive hitter anyway.  If he can maintain a high rate of line drives, Choo can be a steal at the RF position.

THIRD TIER

The rest of the field:

  • Mark Trumbo (Power is the name of his game, but he'll drive you crazy in other categories).
  • Hunter Pence (Solid power and a solid contact provides a solid batting average)
  • Andre Ethier (.814 OPS makes him someone to look out for in drafts)
  • Carlos Beltran (injury and age concerns. Miserable 2nd half, but might be worth the risk for the right price as he's projected to get an OPS of .868, per ESPN)
  • Nelson Cruz (Can provide adequate power, but on-base% is terrible)
  • Nick Swisher (new team, but should still reach close to 25 homers and and OPS of .800+. He's projected to strikeout more this season, however).
  • Chris Davis (I really don't like this guy, but there's always room in fantasy baseball for guys who can hit 30 home runs on any given season. If you can't stomach the strikeouts and low on-base% (like yours truly), then feel free to pass on this guy)
  • Nick Markakis (His counting stats won't "wow!" anyone, but his patience and great on-base% makes him relevant in fantasy circles)
  • Torii Hunter (20 homers and a .780+ OPS might make him a useful RF in most leagues)
Keep an eye on: 
  • Wil Myers (Baseball America's #1 Prospect. Just a matter of when?)
  • Norichika Aoki (A pesky hitter who can drive pitchers crazy. His speed can net him 20+ steals.  Not much on power, however).
  • Corey Hart (He will be recovering from knee surgery and won't be ready until May.  Players who aren't expected to be healthy by Opening Day are usually not worth drafting, but this guy might be an exception, especially if you can afford to keep him on Injured Reserve or if you have great depth already.  25 homers and .835 OPS can still help many teams, no matter the fantasy format).

Wednesday, February 20, 2013

CATCH!: 2013 Early Pre-Rankings--1B

So that's what an "off" year by Albert Pujols looks like?
(photo courtesy of Mike McCann's Field of Fotos)



Felipe M

Feel free to view our Catchers' list as we get ready for the 2013 baseball season, with a special emphasis put in place for fantasy baseball.  Will try to be more succinct as it seems that every player who can lift up a bat qualifies at 1B.  

GREEN=Currently on my keeper team. 

TOP TIER

1. Albert Pujols: It's Albert Pujols!  Next!
2. Joey Votto: I'm a huge fan of Votto's and believe that he will return to form in 2013.
3. Prince Fielder: After much worry about Fielder playing in a bigger park, he only experienced the slightest of slight decrease in production.  The only thing one should be concern about him is his weight and even then, he has proven time and time again that it's really a non-issue.
4. Buster Posey: Yes, I believe he's that good!
5. Billy Butler: Many publications believe that Butler has finally broken out.  I'm still leery of him, but for now, he's top 5. And yes, he did play in 20 games at 1B, avoiding the "DH-only" stigma.
6. Adrian Gonzalez: He's due for a bounce back year as he returns for a full season in the NL and is out of the toxic environment in Boston.  
7. Edwin Encarnacion: It is very strange to see Encarnacion on this list as I'm used to correlating the name to 3B.  But this season, he only qualifies at this position and his breakout year last season places him in the top 10.  The Toronto Blue Jays have caught lightning, twice!  Once with Jose Bautista and now Encarnacion.
8. Allen Craig: Just like Encarnacion, Craig came out of nowhere to inhabit the 1B position for the St. Louis Cardinals. He did play well in very limited time in 2011, but the Cards, out of desperation, put him in the lineup and found themselves a legit power-hitter.  He's already gotten the endorsement of teammates, such as Matt Holliday, referring to him as an "elite hitter."

SECOND TIER

9. Paul Goldschmidt:  He showed last year that not only does he have potential to hit for power, but can steal bases as well.  However, he needs to prove himself before we can bump him to the Top Tier.
10. Joe Mauer: What did we say about all of these players qualifying at 1B?  Great contact rate and high on-base%, along with a respectable SLG% places him in the top 10.  Clearly, the position is undergoing massive changes.
11. Paul Konerko: He can still bash, especially in his home park, but Konerko is a candidate to dip in the standings as age is finally starting to catch-up to the "Captain."
12. Mark Trumbo: Not a big fan of Trumbo (not a fan of any player that comes out of the Angels' system apparently--sans Mike Trout). But if we're just talking about pure power, this is your guy.
13. Mark Teixeira: Many publications seem to have grown weary of his slow starts, but last year, he never got it going.  He's 32, but still plays at Yankee Stadium.  I don't see why he cannot return to 30 HRs, 90 RBIs.
14. Freddie Freeman: I really like this kid.  He's only 23, but he has already shown enough flashes of potential to overlook his low batting average.  
15. Ryan Howard: I want to believe that Howard can bounce back this season as he has worked hard this offseason to be back in elite status as a power-hitting 1B. However, Howard is now 33 years-old and other players have leap-frogged ahead of him.  His OPS has been dropping since 2009 and that was before the Achilles injury sustained in the 2011 playoffs.  
16. Mike Napoli: In case you didn't know, Napoli qualifies at catcher...
17. Eric Hosmer: Very disappointed 2012 for the promising, young 1B.  Major emphasis on the word "young," as he's only 23.  The K.C. Royals will continue to be patient with him and he's really solid playing the 1B position so he will continue to get at bats as he tries to figure things out at the plate.

THIRD TIER

The rest of the field:
  • Carlos Santana
  • Ike Davis
  • Nick Swisher
  • Todd Frazier
  • Adam LaRoche
  • Anthony Rizzo
  • Corey Hart
  • Michael Cuddyer
  • Kendry Morales
  • Michael Young
  • Chris Davis
  • Kevin Youkilis
  • Yonder Alonso
Other players to keep an eye on:

More MLB content is available here. 

View our 2B fantasy list, here. 

Tuesday, January 8, 2013

2012 MLB PROSPECT REVIEW: #35-31



Felipe M

The following is a review of a list that was compiled way back in March of 2012.  "2012 Outlooks" are based on a summation of scouting reports (entering the 2012 MLB season) of each player condensed into a sentence or two for easier reading.

35. Joe Benson--OF--Minnesota Twins

  • 2012 Outlook: "Future 20-20 player, but needs to raise contact rate and lower strikeouts."
  • 2012 Achievements: N/A
  • Conclusion: Benson struggled in 2012, but they can be attributed to hand and knee surgeries. Despite a down 2012, GM Terry Ryan is expecting Benson to compete for CF spot in 2013. Benson, however, is far away from ready. He has posted a career BB:K of .43 in the Minors justifying the concern over his patience. Also, Benson needs to show more efficiency when attempint to steal bases. As much as the Twins are high on Benson, his Slash Line seems to be that of a solid, but unspectacular player: .258/.351/.430/.782.
34. Jerry Sands--OF--Pittsburgh Pirates
  • 2012 Outlook: "Strong finish to the 2011 MLB season, but might be heading back to Triple-A in 2012. However, as soon as a spot in the OF opens, he'll be the first one up for the Dodgers."
  • 2012 Achievements: N/A
  • Conclusion: After being traded to the Red Sox in the big Josh Beckett, Carl Crawford, and Adrian Gonzalez deal, the Red Sox traded him to the Pirates in the trade for Joel Hanrahan. Sands did manage to garner 23 at bats for the Dodgers last season (struck out 9 times). He has also proven to be a versatile defender, capable of playing anywhere in the OF and has even played at 1B, and a couple of games at 3B. His Minor League Slash Line is as follows: .289/.376/.562/.938 along with a BB:K of .56. He is currently listed as the 3rd RF in the Pirates' depth chart. 
33. Matt Adams--1B--St. Louis Cardinals
  • 2012 Outlook: "Starting 1B for the Cardinals by 2013." 
  • 2012 Achievements: #19 Prospect in Pacific Coast League
  • Conclusion: Adams is a big guy with legit power. He garnered 86 at bats with the Cardinals last season and struck out 24 times. And then he was forced to have surgery to remove bone spur from his right elbow in August, but should be ready by spring training. Unfortunately, with Allen Craig and Matt Carpenter at the top of the Cards' depth chart, Adams' chance at the Big Leagues will continue to be delayed. Baseball experts and fans alike have been waiting in anticipation to see if Adams is the real deal. Power and production has been improving in the Minors since 2010 (from A-ball to Triple-A) and has show adequate patience, posting a BB:K of .60. Adams just needs an opportunity in the Majors to see if skills and abilities can streamline to the Big Leagues. 
32. Jonathan Singleton--1B--Houston Astros
Singleton showing off his big bat.
  • 2012 Outlook: "20 year-old can hit for high average and high power."
  • 2012 Achievements: Played in Arizona Fall League; #5 Prospect in Texas League; #2 Prospect in Astros' organization as well as the system's Best Hitter for Average.
  • Conclusion: Singleton will have to be called up sometime in 2013, but the Astros have pretty much tried to defer having to call-up the young power hitter by signing Carlos Pena and even flirting with the idea of reuniting with Lance Berkman. In the Minors, Singleton has shown discipline (BB:K .70) and production (Slash Line: .291/.394/.470/.864). Reports have shown Singleton to compete for a spot in the Astros' roster in spring training, to projecting his call-up for September.  Singleton will be worth monitoring even in the Minors.
31. Adam C. Eaton--OF--Arizona Diamondbacks
  • 2012 Outlook: "Shane Victorino-like. Might step in 2012 if somebody gets hurt." 
  • 2012 Achievements: #12 Prospect in Pacific Coast League as well as the League's Fastest Baserunner and Most Exciting Player.
  • Conclusion: Eaton did indeed get called up and filled in for a hurt D'backs' OF. He held his own in 85 Big League at bats posting a BB:K of .93(!), .259 batting average, and a .382 on-base%. He has a career .456 OBP%, .966 OPS, and a BB:K of .85 in the Minors. Despite all of the impressive numbers, Eaton is expected to compete for CF spot in 2013 and will most likely be on a short leash as he will be shipped back to the Minors at the fist sign of struggle. However, Eaton has shown flashes of his potential and despite the lack of size, he has show, thus far, that he can be a prototypical baseball player.