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Showing posts with label Troy Tulowitzki. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Troy Tulowitzki. Show all posts

Saturday, June 15, 2013

IN EXILE: Replacing Troy Tulowitzki

Felipe M

Once again, superstar shortstop, Troy Tulowitzki is out for an extended period of time with an injury (rib, 4-6 weeks).  Unlike our review of available left fielders to replace Ryan Braun, the depth of available shortstops is extremely thin.  However, there are always gems to be found in free agency and with luck and good scouting, you may be able to hold weather this storm and find a respectable replacement.  

(All stats are as of Thursday, June 13, 2013):

SHORTSTOPS' Performance in Last 21 Days
Player
Owned
ABs
HR
BB
K
SB
AVG
OBP
SLG
Zack Cosart
49%
75
1
3
19
0
0.293
0.329
0.427
Derek Dietrich
15%
74
5
4
16
0
0.203
0.263
0.446
Stephen Drew
39%
70
2
8
24
1
0.229
0.304
0.400
Yunel Escobar
43%
67
1
7
7
0
0.328
0.387
0.418
Nick Franklin
61%
50
2
8
10
2
0.300
0.397
0.520
Didi Gregorius
55%
71
1
7
16
0
0.254
0.342
0.352
Jayson Nix
8%
60
0
4
16
7
0.300
0.344
0.350
Omar Quintanilla
5%
48
2
3
11
0
0.271
0.314
0.479
Josh Rutledge
50%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*

Right off the bat, Josh Rutledge's ownership rate has gone up as it will be very likely that he will be called up to replace the ailing Tulowitzki.  He is currently in the middle of a hot streak in Triple-A.  Many experts believe that Rutledge can streamline that success to the Big Leagues.  Not a fan of Rutledge, but before he was demoted, he did display an improving BB:K and despite his impatient approach and woeful on-base%, he still has good contact skills  to rack up the counting stats (5 homeruns, 5 stolen bases).  So if you believe that Rutledge is the hot bat your team is looking for in these dire times, by all means, have at him before it's too late.

The player that you should probably grab without hesitation is Nick Franklin.  After disappointing in Triple-A last season, Franklin has shown, once again, his knack to bounce back.  Surprisingly, his skills have streamlined better than expected in the Majors.  The pop is on full display, his line drive power (5 doubles) is apparent, his base stealing ability is latent, and his plate discipline is amazing, even for a rookie.  You see why Franklin has been a top prospect in the Seattle Mariners' organization now?  

Another rookie making waves is Didi Gregorius.  He's shown a decent approach, some pop, good contact and on-base skills.  He may not be as explosive as Rutledge and Franklin (on potential alone), but despite being a rookie, he might be a steady choice of a replacement.

Zack Cosart is having a heck of a week, especially after padding his stats against the Chicago Cubs.  What Cosart lacks in plate discipline, contact and on-base skills, he more than makes up for it in pop (on pace to hit 14 homeruns this season).  Cosart is one of those "get him while he's hot; cut him when he's not" type of player.

Most likely, the player that might be the "safest" add is Yunel Escobar.  After being exiled from Toronto and struggling with a year-to-date batting average of .244, Escobar has been heating up in the last 3 weeks as the 2009 version has been evident in that time span.  I'd be reluctant with Escobar because the Tampa Rays have plenty of depth to replace him and if he begins to struggle, they won't hesitate to replace him.  But if Escobar continues to display the plate discipline, gets on base, can show more pop in his bat, and make great contact with the ball, he might be the darkhorse in terms of long-term solution out of this bunch.

Stephen Drew is once again relevant in fantasy circles as his decent pop makes him an intriguing choice if you're looking for some power out of the position.  However, Drew has a history of injuries and the approach makes him a "peak and valley" player.  Too inconsistent for my taste.  

Speaking of pop, Derek Dietrich (who kind of looks like actor Diedrich Bader), has been making headlines with 5 of his 6 homeruns coming in the last 3 weeks.  Unfortunately, Dietrich is sort of a free-swinger and offers very little of everything else.

Jayson Nix is getting regular time with the New York Yankees, as they await the return of Derek Jeter.  Nix has a bad approach at the plate and subpar contact skills.  In the last 3 weeks, however, he's been finding ways to get on base.  When he's aboard, he's been able to rack up 7 of his 9 stolen bases in that span.  So if you're looking to pad your stolen base department, Nix is probably your temporary solution.

Finally, Omar Quintanilla has been getting plenty of playing time with the other New York team--the Mets.  Outside of having adequate ability to put the ball in play, Quintanilla offers very little of anything else as a fantasy player.  The high slugging percentage is a product of the 2 homeruns he's hit all season.  He's on pace to hit 5 for the rest of the year.  Best to avoid.  

Saturday, March 30, 2013

MARDI GRAS MADNESS: The Evil Empire

Felipe M

We continue on our reviews for our fantasy baseball league, Mardi Gras Madness.  Please take some time to read the St Bernard Giants outlook.  

The next team is the newest owner in our league, but by no means is he a rookie to fantasy baseball.  Let's take a look at how our resident Yankee fan fared in his first draft in this league. 

CENTRAL DIVISION--The Evil Empire (from Illinois by way of New York)


BATTING LINEUP

Like: Strong left side of the infield with Ryan Zimmerman and Troy Tulowitzki.  As mentioned before, I truly believe that Tulo is the best SS in baseball, but there are injury concerns with him.  In the last 3 seasons, he’s only played in 64% of the Rockies’ games and has not played in over 150 games since 2009.  Carlos Gonzalez is on the squad as well as he’ll be showing off his power/speed combo. 

Dislike: Nelson Cruz, even though he has enough power to be a relevant fantasy player, is just too impatient for my taste.  He’s projected to post an on-base% of .326.  As an owner who had Carlos Beltran on his fantasy team last year, seeing him run out of gas late in 2012 was a tremendous letdown.  He did play in 150 games, but at 36 years-old, will he be able to get through a full season in 2013?  Adam Jones’ value comes from his counting stats, but eventually, the poor approach at the plate and the relatively low on-base% will catch up to him and screw his fantasy owners.  And even though Dan Uggla was picked in round five (virtual 12th round) of the draft, Uggla’s fall from the top of the 2B list should be alarming.

Look Out For: Manny Machado as his year can go either way: he will either flourish this season with the Orioles or his impatience will catch up to him and they will be forced to send him back to the Minors.  


2013 Hitting Projections
Player
Team
Pos
BB/K
AB/K
AB/HR
OBP
SLG
OPS
SB
Nelson Cruz
Texas
RF
0.35
4.30
21.07
0.326
0.484
0.809
10
Dan Uggla
Atlanta
2B
0.51
3.55
22.01
0.344
0.425
0.769
3
Adam Jones
Baltimore
CF
0.26
5.06
21.69
0.338
0.494
0.831
13
Manny Machado
Baltimore
3B
0.33
4.96
28.24
0.301
0.429
0.730
9










Bench: The Empire had a very interesting bench as the “homer” in him had him pick up a few Yankee players. Backing up Tulo will be Derek Jeter.  Currently, free-swinging, Adam LaRoche is starting at 1B, but most likely taking his place will be Mark TeixeiraKevin Youkilis is a good piece to have on your team because he qualifies at 1B/3B and can also be placed on the DH spot.  Victor Martinez was accidentally picked as a catcher, but he will only qualify at DH this season (until he plays 5 games at the backstop), but the team was able to acquire Matt Wieters after the draft in a trade.  Both are good options at catcher.  Even V-Mart makes for a great DH.  

PITCHING

Like: Johnny Cueto and James Shields are both top 25 pitchers.  Jeff Samardzija fell into our 3rd Tier list because of his BB/9, but when he has his control working, he can be pretty dominant.  Derek Holland can be useful on the right team and this club is right for him as a middle of the rotation starter.  Ryan Vogelsong is the last member of a solid 6-man rotation. 

Dislike: I’m still skeptical about R.A. Dickey.  I’ve explained before about distrusting kucklers, but his projections were good enough to place him ahead of teammate Shields on my top 25 list.  Clearly, this owner did not read my analysis on Justin Masterson.  

2013 Pitching Projections
Player
Team
K/BB
K/9
BB/9
H/9
WHIP
HR/9
Justin Masterson
Cleveland
2.09
6.85
3.27
9.26
1.39
0.73
Ryan Vogelsong
San Francisco
2.28
7.56
3.32
8.52
1.32
0.77
Jeff Samardzija
Cubs
2.33
8.82
3.78
7.98
1.31
1.02
Derek Holland
Texas
2.73
7.66
2.81
8.51
1.26
1.07
Brandon League
Los Angeles
2.13
6.75
3.18
8.34
1.28
0.53
Chris Perez
Cleveland
2.70
8.84
3.27
7.04
1.15
0.82














Bullpen: One of my favorite closers to pick on, Chris Perez is on the ballclub.  Bad enough that he can be a bit loose with his words and actions, but sometimes he goes through these stretches where he loses control and command of his pitches.  Brandon League has so many people rooting against him as they await for Kenley Jansen to take over in Los Angeles.  League’s stuff and projections also make him a questionable choice at closer. 

PREDICTION: Pretty good team despite the fact that it is being run by a new owner.  Starting pitching and offense might be good enough to keep this team in playoff contention, but they also have plenty of hitters that are susceptible to prolonged slumps.  In a fantasy points’ league like this one where you lose points for strikeouts, it can prove to be difference between making the playoffs and watching other teams playing for the championship.