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Showing posts with label Matt Harvey. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Matt Harvey. Show all posts

Thursday, April 4, 2013

MAKING THE PITCH: New York Mets

Felipe M

Even though the season has started, it's still early enough to take a quick look at the rest of the pitching staffs.


Check out our review on Roy Halladay and the Philadelphia Phillies.


Let's see how the New York Mets look for this season:

Jeremy Hefner was selected as the team's 4th starter by default due to all the injuries the Mets have suffered with guys like Shaun Marcum  (15-day DL) and Johan Santana (out for the year).  Hefner didn't impress in the spring and he posted mediocre numbers in both Double-A and Triple-A.

2013 Pitching Projections
Player
Team
K/BB
K/9
BB/9
H/9
WHIP
HR/9
Jon Niese
Mets
2.96
7.34
2.48
8.51
1.22
0.95
Shaun Marcum
Mets
2.80
7.71
2.76
8.27
1.23
1.07
Matt Harvey
Mets
2.21
8.90
4.02
8.25
1.36
0.91
Dillon Gee
Mets
2.18
7.11
3.26
8.53
1.31
0.89
Bobby Parnell
Mets
2.68
7.93
2.96
8.06
1.22
0.54












When Shaun Marcum is healthy, he can be a real solid starter.  When he's healthy. He's currently out with nerve inflammation in his neck and will not be making his next start.  Typical Marcum stuff.

Dillon Gee was pitching well in the 2012, but missed the 2nd half of last year due to a blood clot in his shoulder that required surgery.  He had a serviceable spring, but should be ready to go for this season and his projections are fairly accurate for Gee.  He pitched valiantly today against the Padres, but suffered a loss.  He walked three and struck out four.

Jon Niese was the Mets' Opening Day starter this year and he pitched well enough to get credit for the win.  Just like Gee before the injury, Niese had a career year in 2012.  Again, the projections are pretty accurate in terms of what you can expect out of Niese.  

Bobby Parnell becomes the de-facto closer due to Frank Francisco's current stint on the DL for elbow inflammation.  Francisco underwent surgery to remove bone chips from his elbow and the last report indicated that he still couldn't pitch without succumbing to pain.  He's expected to be back by mid-April, but that's being overly optimistic for a pitcher that feels major pain every time he throws the ball.  

Parnell had a really good spring as he allowed only 2 baserunners.  His projections are not very impressive for a closer, but he does have experience as he has notched 14 saves in his career.  If Parnell is able to hold the 9th inning without much problems, he might be able to hold on to the job for the rest of the year, even if Francisco returns. 

And if there's a young pitcher that would be worth the price of admission this season, it'd be Matt Harvey.  Every time I see the name I get excited.  I am this close to becoming a Mets' fan just so I can pay attention to his games.  The projections believe that he will struggle with walks as many young pitchers do when they're pitching to big league hitters for the first time in their careers, but Harvey dominated hitters this spring.  Despite the projections and the bust label bestowed upon him by many fantasy experts, I'm really optimistic about Harvey blooming this season.  He is a young pitcher so there will be control and command issues, walls that will be hit and possible innings and pitch count limits, but he might do enough to help out fantasy teams; assuming he's not a top-tier starter for said teams.  

His first start of the season was fantastic as he mowed down the Padres.  I'm not expecting him to be dominant in every start, but he definitely has the upside to show flashes every once in a while. 

Matter of fact, the Mets have a decent pitching staff entering this season and they look like they can be a fun team to watch in 2013.  Not sure about their hitters, but their pitching might be enough to keep them in ballgames.

More MLB content is available here. 

Thursday, March 28, 2013

MARDI GRAS MADNESS: Beer Belly Mashers

Felipe M

I continue to review our league's fantasy baseball team.  Up next is a long time nemesis and the only person I wish "bad luck" for the 2013 season.

But first, take a look at team Texas Sooner's loaded squad if you haven't all ready. 

EAST DIVISION--BEER BELLY MASHERS (out of Kansas City)

BATTING LINEUP

Like: You know your team is in trouble when Dustin Pedroia might be your best power hitter.  No disrespect to Paul Goldschmidt or Andre Ethier, but Pedroia has the track record as a complete hitter, especially with power.  And that’s not saying much.  I’m a fan of Jon Jay’s as his high on-base% makes him useable in fantasy leagues.  I also believe in Eric Hosmer to turn his career around and become the hitter everybody thought he could be, but time is running out for the guy.  Andrelton Simmons is expected to struggle, but if he can streamline the things that made him a successful hitter in the Minors, he can definitely hold his own in the Majors and become a productive player in fantasy leagues.

Dislike: Juan Pierre as a LF is just so wrong.  I’m skeptical of Salvador Perez and I think he could prove to be a bust, but most fantasy “experts” like his prospects for 2013.  I actually liked Matt Carpenter coming into the draft because he would eventually qualify at 2B.  But as a starting 3B?  I’m not buying that.  Dexter Fowler as a DH is giving the frustrating player too much respect.  Even Ethier, as the sole power hitter in the OF is disastrous. 

Look Out For: Wil Myers was picked as the #1 prospect in baseball by many publications.  Whether he plays this season or not is pretty doubtful, but at this point, he’s probably not available in a majority of leagues.  Oscar Taveras finished as the #1 prospect on this site.  Many publications believe he could be the 
1st prospect to be called up for the Cardinals.

2013 Hitting Projections
Player
Team
Pos
BB/K
AB/K
AB/HR
OBP
SLG
OPS
SB
Salvador Perez
Kansas City
C
0.35
8.58
35.00
0.327
0.435
0.762
0
Eric Hosmer
Kansas City
1B
0.56
6.01
28.87
0.340
0.437
0.777
15
Andrelton Simmons
Atlanta
SS
0.57
8.69
70.27
0.331
0.400
0.731
13
Dexter Fowler
Colorado
CF
0.54
3.69
41.71
0.367
0.445
0.812
15
Paul Goldschmidt
Arizona
1B
0.44
3.59
22.30
0.352
0.482
0.834
13

PITCHING

Like: Unlike their hitting, pitching is where this team will survive in 2013.  Just look at the names: Josh Beckett, Gio Gonzalez, Zack Greinke, Matt Harvey, CC Sabathia, Jeremy Hellickson and even Dan Haren provides the team with a loaded pitching staff.

Dislike: After viewing their lineup, I’m left wondering if it was really necessary to add Jarrod Parker and Wandy Rodriguez to the team.  

Bullpen: Not a good strategy of acquiring shaky closers like Greg Holland, Tom Wilhelmsen, and Jason Grilli when their lineup is so weak and lacking depth.

2013 Pitching Projections
Player
Team
K/BB
K/9
BB/9
H/9
WHIP
HR/A
Jason Grilli
Pittsburgh
2.72
9.87
3.63
6.68
1.15
1.02
Greg Holland
Kansas City
2.60
10.17
3.91
6.52
1.16
0.52
Tom Wilhelmsen
Seattle
2.03
7.73
3.80
7.10
1.21
0.76
Wandy Rodriguez
Pittsburgh
2.47
6.99
2.83
9.64
1.39
0.87
Jarrod Parker
Oakland
2.32
7.73
3.33
8.44
1.31
0.80










Look Out For: I've mentioned Harvey already, but it’s worth noting again that he is definitely a key figure in the Mets’ future and did an admirable job late in 2012.  There’s lots of promise with this kid. 

PREDICTION: Typical Beer Belly team as he’s always a powerhouse in terms of pitching and usually does a great job in complementing that strength with formidable hitters.  Unfortunately, this year, the team is too unbalanced as even this serviceable lineup will not be enough to help this team reach for a championship in 2013.  This team definitely personifies the definition of greed and in the end, it might cost them.

More fantasy baseball is available here.

Thursday, January 17, 2013

2012 MLB PROSPECT REVIEW: #25-21

Source (Mike McCann's Field of Fotos): Zack Wheeler and
Matt Harvey will forever be connected to one another.  


Felipe M

The following is a review of a list that was compiled way back in March of 2012.  "2012 Outlooks" are based on a summation of scouting reports (entering the 2012 MLB season) of each player condensed into a sentence or two for easier reading.

25. Wily Peralta--SP--Milwaukee Brewers

  • 2012 Outlook: "Hard thrower and future workhorse. Might step in this year if the Big League team needs him."
  • 2012 Achievements: Best Slider in the Brewers' System
  • Conclusion: Started 5 games and accumulated 29 innings pitched for the Brewers last season. He pitched impressively, posting a 1.21 WHIP; 7.14 K/9; 3.41 BB/9; 7.44 H/9. As you can see, however, his walk rate is just a tad high. However, considering his miserable season at Triple-A (WHIP 1.58; 9.4 H/9; 4.8 BB/9, but did post a K/9 of 8.8), it's a wonder he pitched as well as he did for the Brew Crew last year. He pitched a lot better in 2011, but control and command problems were an issue that year as well.  Nevertheless, Peralta impressed enough in 2012 to compete for a starting rotation spot in 2013.
24. Zack Wheeler--SP--New York Mets
  • 2012 Outlook: "True ace potential. To compete for spot in the Majors by 2013."
  • 2012 Achievements: #1 Mets Prospect (Second Year in a Row) and System's Best Curveball; #2 Eastern League Prospect as well as the league's Best Breaking Pitch, Fastball, and Pitching Prospect.
  • Conclusion: Wheeler posted a 12-8 record last year, along with an ERA of 3.26, 1.17 WHIP, 6.9 H/9, 3.6 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9.  Wheeler knows how to keep the ball on the ground and command helps with keeping the ball in the park. Despite his impressive season, the Mets will probably use the same map for Wheeler's ascension to the Majors that they had used on Matt Harvey in 2012. 
23. Hak-Ju Lee--SS--Tampa Rays
  • 2012 Outlook: "The Shane Victorino of shortstops."
  • 2012 Achievements: Played in Arizona Fall League; #3 Prospect in Tampa; #8 Prospect in Southern League.
  • Conclusion: Lee is still 22 years-old. But people are concerned with his performance in Double-A. In 140 games and 648 Plate Appearances, Lee has posted the following: .249/.325/.351/.676, BB:K of .50, but did steal 42 bases. There's still hope that Lee's hitting prowess will click again, but it looks like his defense might be the key to getting to the Big Leagues. Has the edge to be the starting shortstop in Double-A once again in 2013.
22. Nick Franklin--SS--Seattle Mariners
  • 2012 Outlook: "Disappointed in California League, but still possesses power/speed combination that makes him an intriguing call-up for 2012."
  • 2012 Achievements: #5 Prospect in Mariners' system; #16 Prospect in Pacific Coast and #7 in Southern Leagues
  • Conclusion: Franklin got off to a hot start in Double-A, but struggled considerably when he was moved up to Triple-A last season. Franklin's career Double-A numbers after 335 PA's look like this: .326/.392/.498/.890, 14 stolen bases, 6 homeruns, .54 BB:K. At Triple-A, after 296 PA's: .243/.310/.416/.725, 3 stolen bases, 7 homers, .35 BB:K. But just like Lee, Franklin is only 22 and might improve in his second season at Triple-A. 
21. Leonys Martin--OF--Texas Rangers
  • 2012 Outlook: "Competing for CF spot in Big Leagues (2011). Strong batting eye and can steal bases, too."
  • 2012 Achievements: #4 Prospect in Rangers' system; #17 Prospect in Pacific Coast League.
  • Conclusion: Martin was able to garner 46 at bats for the Rangers last season where he posted pedestrian numbers. His Minor League numbers suggest that he's ready to contribute in the Majors, however. After 406 PA's at Triple-A: .318/.377/.483/.860, 12 homers, 19 stolen bases, and .56 BB:K. Martin is expected to be the lefty part of a platoon system at CF for the Rangers in 2013. 

Tuesday, December 4, 2012

2012 MLB PROSPECT REVIEW: #105-101


Felipe M

The following is a review of a list that was compiled way back in March of 2012.  "2012 Outlooks" are based on a summation of scouting reports (entering the 2012 MLB season) of each player condensed into a sentence or two for easier reading.

105. Carlos Martinez--SP--St. Louis Cardinals

  • 2012 Outlook: "Wild, but still has Ace potential. Long-term player"
  • 2012 Achievements: Best fastball in Texas League; Named #6 best prospect in TL.
  • Conclusion: Martinez's K/9 dropped when promoted to Double-A, but so did walk rate. Martinez also induced a lot of groundball outs last season.  Regardless, Martinez looks to spend another season in the minors next year.
104. Jed Bradley--SP--Milwaukee Brewers


  • 2012 Outlook: "Solid lefty, might move through Minors quickly"
  • 2012 Achievements: Struggled in Hi-A ball
  • Conclusion: The big lefty posted pedestrian numbers last season and nothing really stood out in 2012. Turns out, Bradley does need a lot more time in the Minors than originally anticipated.
103. Matt Harvey--SP--New York Mets
  • 2012 Outlook: "High upside--needs to work on secondary pitches."
  • 2012 Achievements: #1 Prospect in International League and obviously the Best Pitching prospect in the league. Was impressive in call-up to Majors. 
  • Conclusion: Also of note is that he posted high strikeout rates in Minors, but needs to control walk rate. Can also be hittable at times, but can control the long ball rate. Harvey's recipe for success is a high, 90s fastball that is complemented by his slider. High upside, along with positive results with the Mets last season, has the baseball world (more noticeably in Queens, New York) waiting in anticipation to see if he can garner a starting rotation spot for the Mets in 2013. 
102. Jake Odorizzi--SP--Kansas City Royals
  • 2012 Outlook: "Struggled in Double-A, but still a good long-term prospect."
  • 2012 Achievements: #11 best prospect in Pacific Coast League
  • Conclusion: Equipped with a High 90s fastball and a good curveball, Odorizzi has the makings of a legit starting pitcher in the majors. He can be hittable at times and looks to be a flyball pitcher, but can keep the ball in the park. Struggled in the Majors last season, but Royals look to call him up sometime in 2013.
101. Dylan Bundy--SP--Baltimore Orioles
  • 2012 Outlook: "Upside to be top prospect, but still few years away."
  • 2012 Achievements: #1 Prospect in Carolina League also had Best Fastball in league; Best Curveball and Fastball in Orioles' system, per Baseball America; Best Fastball and Pitching Prospect in South Atlantic League. 
  • Conclusion: Only 20 years-old, Bundy dominated Minors, for the most part. Showed impeccable control and command in A-Ball. Might be too soon to call up and Orioles don't seem to have an immediate need for him, but if Bundy keeps up the production, the O's will be hard-pressed to not give him a look in the Big Leagues.