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Showing posts with label Madison Bumgarner. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Madison Bumgarner. Show all posts

Tuesday, April 2, 2013

MAKING THE PITCH: San Francisco Giants

Felipe M

Even though the season has started, it's still early enough to take a quick look at the rest of the pitching staffs.

Here's a quick look at the Los Angeles Dodgers.  Now a look at their rival, the San Francisco Giants. 

2013 Pitching Projections
Player
Team
K/BB
K/9
BB/9
H/9
WHIP
HR/9
Madison Bumgarner
San Francisco
4.04
8.35
2.07
8.18
1.14
0.82
Matt Cain
San Francisco
3.53
8.31
2.36
7.41
1.09
0.81
Tim Lincecum
San Francisco
2.39
9.27
3.88
8.24
1.35
0.94
Ryan Vogelsong
San Francisco
2.28
7.56
3.32
8.52
1.32
0.77
Barry Zito
San Francisco
1.67
5.96
3.56
9.23
1.42
0.99
Sergio Romo
San Francisco
7.56
11.77
1.56
6.75
0.92
0.69













Let's be real: I don't have to sell you on the idea of Matt Cain and Madison Bumgarner. Let's move on.

Tim Lincecum has become the biggest enigma since the electronica musical project known as Enigma.  Suddenly, "The Freak" lost the physical ability that made him a household name and earned him the nickname he now carries.  From a numbers standpoint, his K/9 is good enough to make him a relevant fantasy pitcher, but his other stats prevent him from being the elite pitcher we have been marveling at since almost the very beginning of his career.  However, a decrease in velocity is no excuse for poor control--in terms of allowing so many walks.  His 2012 BB/9 of 4.35 is just unacceptable from a guy with his talent.  

In CBS leagues, he's being picked in the 10th round of most leagues, which is about right for a guy like Lincecum. If he can correct the flaws that have turned him into the mess he has become, then obviously he can be a candidate for "steal of the draft."  However, if his miserable spring is any indicator, those current projections might be more of a reality than just a simple prediction.

Then there's a guy like Barry Zito.  He seems to have been struggling with control since 2003, the year after he won the Cy Young Award. Even in 2002, he had a pedestrian 2.3 K/BB.  Erik Bedard is projected to have a 2.25 K/BB.  So perhaps Zito was always this bad?  He wins 15 games last season and people are turning into believers.  But Zito's success was in posting his lowest BB/9 since 2005.  That and he was pitching for the best team in baseball in 2012.  Clearly, I'm not a believer so I stay away from him.  

Ryan Vogelsong had a good spring, but despite the adequate projections, and being a bit more stable than Lincecum, Vogelsong still was being selected, on average, by the 12th round of many drafts.  Vogelsong is a safe pick in your rotation.  The one concern about his projections is his BB/9, but in 2012, he was able to keep his BB/9 below 3.00.  

Finally, Sergio Romo, barring any setbacks, will prove this season why he should be consider among the elite closers in the game.

The Giants have a real shot in having the best starting rotation/closer combo in the game.  If Lincecum can control his walks and Zito can come close to repeating his performance from last season, this team can attain that title.  

More MLB content is available here.  

Wednesday, March 27, 2013

MARDI GRAS MADNESS: Bourbon St Red Sox


Felipe M

As explained in the last article, I'll be posting my fantasy baseball keeper league predictions on this website.  


I posted predictions for the Co-Commissioner's team, the Castroville Crushers.  No we take a look at the other Co-Commissioner's team.

WEST DIVISION—BOURBON ST RED SOX (out of New Orleans, LA)

BATTING LINEUP

Like: Prince Fielder proved that there was no ballpark big enough to deny his power.  Looking for a bounce-back season from Jacoby Ellsbury as well.  The future of this team is Bryce Harper whom is still improving on his skills and still young enough to post bigger numbers—this after coming off an All-Star season in 2012.  I also like Norichika Aoki: what he lacks in power, he makes up in a very patient approach at the plate and is a speedy baserunner with 30+ steals appeal.

2013 Hitting Projections
Player
Team
BB/K
AB/K
AB/HR
OBP
SLG
OPS
SB
Jacoby Ellsbury
Boston
0.50
7.00
33.39
0.343
0.454
0.798
27
Prince Fielder
Detroit
0.97
5.73
17.55
0.417
0.533
0.950
1
 
Dislike: Big-cut swingers Rickie Weeks, Mike Moustakas, and J.J. Hardy; projected to combine for 353 strikeouts (118 a piece).  And that’s not mentioning Adam Dunn’s strikeout totals as his career is dipping rapidly.  Obviously, his appeal is in his power, but should not belong on any fantasy team, at least not this early in the season.

Look Out For: Jesus Montero as the Mariners have given him the opportunity to take over the catching position.  Montero’s stats as a catcher were a lot better than as a DH in 2012. 

BENCH: It will be interesting to see if Yonder Alonso can benefit from the fences being moved in at San Diego.  He had a good, late-season run in 2012.  As long as Michael Cuddyer plays in Colorado, he will continue to find a place on a fantasy team.  I don’t see Denard Span being utilize too often on this team.

PITCHING

Like: Madison Bumgarner (see 2013 projections below) might be the best pitcher on the Giants.  He won’t be doing it by himself either as the Red Sox are loaded with pitchers: Edwin Jackson, Jon Lester, Kris Medlen, Ian Kennedy, Hisashi Iwakuma.

Player
Team
K/BB
K/9
BB/9
H/9
WHIP
HR/A
Madison Bumgarner
San Francisco
4.04
8.35
2.07
8.18
1.14
0.82

Dislike: Not a fan of Clay Buchholz as he’s been a disappointment since the BoSox have given him a regular spot in the rotation after many years of being hyped as a highly-touted prospect. 

Look Out For: There’s a few candidates at this spot: Matt Garza, when he comes back from injury, gives the Bourbons incredible depth in the rotation.  Minor Leaguers Danny Hultzen and Kevin Gausman are very likely to be called up later in 2013, but Hultzen is more likely to step into his team’s starting rotation and flourish than Gausman.

BULLPEN: As opposed to years past, the Bourbons didn’t go after a lot of relievers.  They did pick up Jonathan Papelbon who is a top-tier closer.

PREDICTION: The pitching is incredibly loaded and might be good enough to carry the club to another championship.  What’s stopping this team from a sure spot in the playoffs in their infield, sans Fielder.  Nevertheless, they have an OF that should prove to be consistent throughout the year.  Whether they can make up for the short falls from their impatient teammates is yet to be seen.