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Showing posts with label Jordan Zimmermann. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jordan Zimmermann. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 26, 2013

BRAGGING RIGHTS 2013: Felipe's Dreadful Draft Experience

Jay Bruce will be counted on to provide power and run-production in 2013.
(photo courtesy of Mike McCann's FIELD OF FOTOS)


Felipe M

I have been playing in a keeper league for the last 10 seasons or so.  The League is Mardi Gras Madness.  My team name: Black Hole Army named after the villains of this video game:


Sunday night was the draft from hell for my keeper league's annual draft.  Aside from the fact that the league’s draft module kept breaking down on us, it seemed every time I was getting ready to draft somebody, another owner would swoop in and swipe that player out of my hands.  So I ended up selecting a lot of players that I really was not excited to have on my team, but these will be the guys I will be going to war with in this 2013 season:

KEEPERS
  • Carlos Santana--C
  • Edwin Encarnacion—1B
  • Ian Kinsler—2B
  • Ryan Braun--LF
  • Allen Craig--RF
  • Jay Bruce--DH
  • Jason Motte--P

I actually like these players as they were the core to my run at the title last season only to fall short in the championship game.  Santana is an elite backstop and still young enough to fulfill potential.  Encarnacion and Craig had breakout years last season and their respective teams consider them part of their future.  Kinsler is still one of the best 2B in all of baseball.  Braun is arguably one of the best hitters in the league.  Meanwhile, Bruce can supply points by the truckloads due to his power bat and Motte can rack up the saves because of his power arm.  Unfortunately, Motte is expected to be placed on the DL to start the season with elbow issues—bummer.  Recently picked up Mitchell Boggs off waivers to offset the Motte injury. 
So coming into the draft, I have a few positions on offense to fill out, but I would have to focus on pitching, pitching, and pitching.  Will this strategy pay off?  It would have to because technically, coming into this draft, I have no pitchers.  Here are the results:

DRAFTED PLAYERS
  • Martin Prado—3B
  • Jordan Zimmerman—P
  • B.J. Upton—CF
  • Desmond Jennings—CF
  • J.J. Putz—P
  • Huston Street—P
  • Brandon McCarthy—P
  • Tommy Milone—P
  • Tim Hudson—P
  • Andy Pettitte—P
  • Jedd Gyorko—3B
  • Danny Espinosa—SS
  • Gavin Floyd—P
  • A.J. Griffin—P
  • Ricky Nolasco—P

Clearly, other than Zimmerman (whom I was thinking of keeping instead of Motte until I read reports of ‘Z’ having issues with a “dead arm” earlier in the spring), a lot of the starting pitchers that I drafted this year are not my type of pitchers.  But what can I do?  All elite pitchers were kept by other teams coming into this draft.  So I was stuck selecting pitch-to-contact pitchers with good control.  Not very happy with the pitching staff, but I did what I could under the circumstances. 

I’m also not very happy with being stuck selecting both B.J.Upton and Jennings, but in the 3rd and 4th round, they seemed to be the best and most explosive players available in those two rounds. I’m not high on either one of them, but hopefully the gamble on picking the low patience/contact rate hitters will pay off in the end.

As you guys should know by now, I really like Prado and I even attempted to trade for him in the offseason, but couldn’t make a deal in time to beat our league’s offseason trade deadline.  So when I saw him available with the 11th pick overall, I did away with my “select nothing but pitchers” strategy and jumped all over the very steady, high patience/contact rate hitter.  He also qualifies at LF so the versatility is an added bonus.

Putz and Street are two of my favorite relievers in the game and somehow, I’m always lucky enough to at least have one of these pitchers in one of my teams for the last three seasons.  In my Yahoo! league, I had both of them on my team, en route to a championship game loss.  I had Street in this keeper league last season as well.  So I was more than happy to see these two closers available to bring some sort of respectability to my pitching staff.

Not happy with the Espinosa pick, but he was my “last line of defense”shortstop.  I was actually going after Elvis Andrus in the 3rd round, but he was immediately grabbed in the middle of the 2nd round.  Ian Desmond was my second choice, but somehow, he also got picked up in that same round as well.  I was so desperate for a SS, I was even thinking of picking Derek Jeter, but our resident New York Yankee fan picked him up in the 13th round.  Guess I’ll be keeping a very close eye on the waivers this season for another shortstop.

Before picking Espinosa, I rolled the dice and reached forGyorko.  As you guys should know, I’ve been excited about Gyorko for awhile now.  Whether I reached too early for him is debatable, but seeing how there were only a handful of players that I would consider selecting before him, I think I made the right choice going with Gyorko’s upside.  And he will eventually qualify at 2B as well and I have Prado manning 3B for now so Gyorko will be riding my bench for awhile until he shows that he can handle big league pitching.

Not really happy with my team, especially my pitching staff, but the best part about it is that it forced me to step out of my comfort zone and go after pitchers I would have never considered drafting in years past.  Last year, I did a good job in picking the pitchers that fit my paradigm as to what a fantasy pitcher should be.  The result last season?  I had the worst pitching staff in our league last year (I still don't know how I reached the championship game in 2012, but that's baseball).  So hopefully, this change in thought will bring me different results and put me over the hump and help me earn that elusive baseball title. 

I really like the batting lineup I have assembled: Encarnacion and Craig are not flukes, I feel this is Santana’s year to blow up, Gyorko and Prado at the hot corner, Jennings and Upton sharing duties in CF, Espinosa is a 15/15 guy, Bruce can light up the scoreboard with his power, and of course, they will all be led by Kinsler and Braun throughout the season. 
So that’s my team—what’s yours?


Thursday, March 21, 2013

MAKING THE PITCH: Washington Nationals

Will Gio Gonzalez repeat his breakthrough performance
from 2012?
(photo courtesy of Mike McCann's Field of Fotos)


Felipe M


We take a look at the projected starting rotations and closer situations of every MLB team.  Of course, this will come from a fantasy perspective.  All cited stats are based on 2013 projections.  

Let's take a look at the Washington Nationals.

PROBABLE STARTING ROTATION
  1. Stephen Strasburg
    • Good: In terms of numbers, he might be the best pitcher in the Majors right now.
    • Bad: It remains to be seen how he will react to a full season and, presumably, no more pitching limits.
  2. Gio Gonzalez
    • Good: 9.18 K/9 proves that he can dominate hitters.  Based on his HR/9 of 0.71, Gonzalez won't hurt himself by giving up many homeruns.
    • Bad: 3.53 BB/9 is a concern.  It also raises his WHIP to 1.25 and is stopping him from becoming a legit, 1st Tier pitcher.  Barry Zito is projected to have a similar BB/9.
  3. Jordan Zimmerman
    • Good: He pitched a full season of baseball in 2012.  He struggled down the stretch, but that was due to fatigue as he's never pitched that deep into the season before (2011, was shut down early due to pitch count/innings limit).  3.93 K/BB shows he can limit walks (BB/9 of under 2) and provide enough strikeouts.  
    • Bad: Health is a slight concern, but he's proven himself in the last two seasons that he's ready to take his game to another level.  He did admit having "dead arm" issues earlier in the spring, but recent reports show he's pitching a lot better.  
  4. Dan Haren
    • Good: Last season's K/BB of 3.72 and 7.25 K/9 showed he can still be a good starting pitcher (Similar numbers to teammate Zimmerman).  However, a drop in velocity (team is actually content that he can top 90 m.p.h.) is the reason why a decrease in K/BB and K/9 is expected this season.  
    • Bad: Recurring back problems have many publications doubting that Haren can return to being a legit ace on your pitching staff and actually surviving an entire, Big League, season. Many doubt that he can actually post K/9 of 7.17 and K/BB of 3.36.
  5. Ross Detwiler
    • Good: He won't hurt himself with homeruns or too many walks.
    • Bad: Low strikeout numbers (K/9 of 5.67) and high WHIP of 1.35 makes him near unusable.  Currently ranked between Bud Norris and Wily Peralta: two pitchers with control problems.
CLOSER
  1. Rafael Soriano
    • Good: Armed with a decent K/9 (9.80) and respectable K/BB of 3.21, Soriano does enough to earn saves.  He also limits the number of base-hits he gives up (6.59 H/9)
    • Bad: It is unknown that he will be ready for the beginning of the season as he's recovering from an infected wisdom tooth.  
FANTASY ADVICE

Soriano is currently ranked outside of the 1st-tier closers' rankings, just ahead of Chris Perez.  Might not be a bad idea to handcuff him with Drew Storen or perhaps even Tyler Clippard.

The Nationals have themselves a good rotation.  Strasburg's numbers and potential are astronomical.  He and Justin Verlander will be battling for the top fantasy pitchers' spot all season long.

Gonzalez would rank a lot higher if he can control his walks, but being a potential 2nd Tier pitcher is not too shabby.  On the other hand, Zimmerman has plenty of doubters out there that might lower his stock in drafts, but his numbers and ability make him a borderline, top 30 starter.  He is a possible steal in drafts this season.  

Dan Haren can also prove to be a steal as many owners will be wary about his back issues and drop in velocity, but he still has enough control of his pitches to be a serviceable pitcher.  Speaking of control, Detwiler's ticket to a fantasy roster will be his control, otherwise he is close to being a spot starter, coming off the waivers to fill in for your club throughout the 2013 season.