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Showing posts with label Pirates. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Pirates. Show all posts

Wednesday, April 3, 2013

MAKING THE PITCH: Pittsburgh Pirates

Felipe M

Even though the season has started, it's still early enough to take a quick look at the rest of the pitching staffs.


Take a quick look at the Seattle Mariners. 


Want to start off with the #4 and #5 starters on the team as they were named very late in spring training.  

Jonathan Sanchez is the left-handed pitcher that struggled mightily with the San Francisco Giants because he just couldn't keep his walks in checks.  He is now 30 years-old and the bright future that he possessed with the Giants is a thing of the past.  So what is the reason he made this club when it looked like he was lucky to make the team as relief pitcher in the offseason?  "Mental adjustments," according to manager Clint Hurdle--whatever, I'm just glad he's no longer in front of my TV.  

Well, this spring, Sanchez still pitched the only way he knows how: with a high ERA and plenty of free passes to opposing batters.  He did strikeout almost as many hitters as innings pitched, but the walks have and will always be his downfall.  Steer clear.  

Jeff Locke, on the other hand, is the complete opposite of Sanchez as he had a solid spring and displayed the control that made him an intriguing option in the Minors.  Unfortunately, unlike Sanchez, Locke struggled to tally up the K's.  However, I would keep an eye on him as he posted a strikeout per innings pitched in 2012.  Just know that control and finesse is the game that Locke likes to play.  

2013 Pitching Projections
Player
Team
K/BB
K/9
BB/9
H/9
WHIP
HR/9
A.J. Burnett
Pittsburgh
2.61
8.12
3.11
8.68
1.31
1.02
Wandy Rodriguez
Pittsburgh
2.47
6.99
2.83
9.64
1.39
0.87
James McDonald
Pittsburgh
2.41
8.36
3.47
8.46
1.33
1.08










I've always liked the three pitchers listed, but for some reason or another, their stock have taken a hit.  For some reason, I feel that many "experts" are more optimistic about these guys than ever before.  Let's take a closer look:

James McDonald has been given plenty of chances throughout his career as a Pirate to develop into the pitcher that they thought he could be when they acquired him from the Dodgers.  Unfortunately, he's always struggled to keep the walks in check as he's never had a BB/9 below 3.5 since he was turned into a starter in 2010.  The hope for this year comes by his hot start in 2012, but he still finished the season with only a serviceable K/BB of 2.2.  McDonald can still earn a healthy amount of strikeouts, but the walks' issue will always be lurking with him.  Put it another way: if McDonald breaks out, the projected numbers might be the best he can do in 2013.  Keep an eye on him (still available in 43% of CBS leagues), but don't be too hopeful of him.  

Wandy Rodriguez had himself a very impressive run with the Dominican team in this year's WBC.  He did struggle in the 1st half of 2012, but was able to bounce back once the Pirates acquired him.  The only concern with Rodriguez is his age (34) and his slow start to 2012, but based on his spring performance, the projections, and his body of work in the last 3 seasons, Rodriguez has a chance to rebound and be a good fantasy pitcher.  Yes, his projected WHIP of 1.39 is really high, but the data collected probably had more to do with his age than ability as he's never had a WHIP higher than 1.32.  He's still available in 33% of CBS leagues.

A.J. Burnett is 36 this season.  It seemed like only yesterday that he was being heralded as the Marlins' ace of the future.  He's also was nearly irrelevant in fantasy circles, but out of nowhere, Burnett was able to have a great year in 2012 because he posted a BB/9 of 2.76 after averaging a BB/9 of 3.8 the two seasons prior.  He also posted his lowest WHIP since 2007.  So he might be old, but maybe he's finally learning how to pitch and not solely depend on overpowering hitters.  

Finally, Jason Grilli will be closing games for this club.  In terms of K/BB, he ranks in the middle of the pack, but only 4 slots away from him is Joel Hanrahan.  Both pitchers have similar projections as well with Hanrahan expected to have more strikeouts and give up less homeruns.  The Pirates style of winning ugly turned Hanrahan into a household age so Grilli has an opportunity to shine this season.  

More MLB content is available here. 

Tuesday, January 8, 2013

2012 MLB PROSPECT REVIEW: #35-31



Felipe M

The following is a review of a list that was compiled way back in March of 2012.  "2012 Outlooks" are based on a summation of scouting reports (entering the 2012 MLB season) of each player condensed into a sentence or two for easier reading.

35. Joe Benson--OF--Minnesota Twins

  • 2012 Outlook: "Future 20-20 player, but needs to raise contact rate and lower strikeouts."
  • 2012 Achievements: N/A
  • Conclusion: Benson struggled in 2012, but they can be attributed to hand and knee surgeries. Despite a down 2012, GM Terry Ryan is expecting Benson to compete for CF spot in 2013. Benson, however, is far away from ready. He has posted a career BB:K of .43 in the Minors justifying the concern over his patience. Also, Benson needs to show more efficiency when attempint to steal bases. As much as the Twins are high on Benson, his Slash Line seems to be that of a solid, but unspectacular player: .258/.351/.430/.782.
34. Jerry Sands--OF--Pittsburgh Pirates
  • 2012 Outlook: "Strong finish to the 2011 MLB season, but might be heading back to Triple-A in 2012. However, as soon as a spot in the OF opens, he'll be the first one up for the Dodgers."
  • 2012 Achievements: N/A
  • Conclusion: After being traded to the Red Sox in the big Josh Beckett, Carl Crawford, and Adrian Gonzalez deal, the Red Sox traded him to the Pirates in the trade for Joel Hanrahan. Sands did manage to garner 23 at bats for the Dodgers last season (struck out 9 times). He has also proven to be a versatile defender, capable of playing anywhere in the OF and has even played at 1B, and a couple of games at 3B. His Minor League Slash Line is as follows: .289/.376/.562/.938 along with a BB:K of .56. He is currently listed as the 3rd RF in the Pirates' depth chart. 
33. Matt Adams--1B--St. Louis Cardinals
  • 2012 Outlook: "Starting 1B for the Cardinals by 2013." 
  • 2012 Achievements: #19 Prospect in Pacific Coast League
  • Conclusion: Adams is a big guy with legit power. He garnered 86 at bats with the Cardinals last season and struck out 24 times. And then he was forced to have surgery to remove bone spur from his right elbow in August, but should be ready by spring training. Unfortunately, with Allen Craig and Matt Carpenter at the top of the Cards' depth chart, Adams' chance at the Big Leagues will continue to be delayed. Baseball experts and fans alike have been waiting in anticipation to see if Adams is the real deal. Power and production has been improving in the Minors since 2010 (from A-ball to Triple-A) and has show adequate patience, posting a BB:K of .60. Adams just needs an opportunity in the Majors to see if skills and abilities can streamline to the Big Leagues. 
32. Jonathan Singleton--1B--Houston Astros
Singleton showing off his big bat.
  • 2012 Outlook: "20 year-old can hit for high average and high power."
  • 2012 Achievements: Played in Arizona Fall League; #5 Prospect in Texas League; #2 Prospect in Astros' organization as well as the system's Best Hitter for Average.
  • Conclusion: Singleton will have to be called up sometime in 2013, but the Astros have pretty much tried to defer having to call-up the young power hitter by signing Carlos Pena and even flirting with the idea of reuniting with Lance Berkman. In the Minors, Singleton has shown discipline (BB:K .70) and production (Slash Line: .291/.394/.470/.864). Reports have shown Singleton to compete for a spot in the Astros' roster in spring training, to projecting his call-up for September.  Singleton will be worth monitoring even in the Minors.
31. Adam C. Eaton--OF--Arizona Diamondbacks
  • 2012 Outlook: "Shane Victorino-like. Might step in 2012 if somebody gets hurt." 
  • 2012 Achievements: #12 Prospect in Pacific Coast League as well as the League's Fastest Baserunner and Most Exciting Player.
  • Conclusion: Eaton did indeed get called up and filled in for a hurt D'backs' OF. He held his own in 85 Big League at bats posting a BB:K of .93(!), .259 batting average, and a .382 on-base%. He has a career .456 OBP%, .966 OPS, and a BB:K of .85 in the Minors. Despite all of the impressive numbers, Eaton is expected to compete for CF spot in 2013 and will most likely be on a short leash as he will be shipped back to the Minors at the fist sign of struggle. However, Eaton has shown flashes of his potential and despite the lack of size, he has show, thus far, that he can be a prototypical baseball player. 

Thursday, January 3, 2013

2012 MLB PROSPECT REVIEW: #50-46


Felipe M

The following is a review of a list that was compiled way back in March of 2012.  "2012 Outlooks" are based on a summation of scouting reports (entering the 2012 MLB season) of each player condensed into a sentence or two for easier reading.

50. Jake Marisnick--OF--Miami Marlins
  • 2012 Outlook: "Long-term, but can hit for power/average and is fast."
  • 2012 Accomplishments: #2 Prospect for Toronto Blue Jays as well as Best OF Arm and Best Outfielder in their farm system; #11 and #9 Best Prospect in Florida State and Eastern Leagues, respectively. 
  • Conclusion: Marisnick was traded to Miami in the trade that brought Jose Reyes, Emilio Bonifacio, Mark Buehrle, and John Buck to Toronto. Marisnick posted decent stats in Hi-A Ball (.263/.349/.451/.800), but struggled in Double-A, posting Slash Lines of .233/.286/.336/.622). He did manage to steal 24 bases in 2012 proving that he is fast on the basepaths. However, Marisnick will have to have a better season in Double-A before the Marlins even think about calling him up to the Big Club. 
49. Gerrit Cole--SP--Pittsburgh Pirates
  • 2012 Outlook: "Looked sharp in [2011] Arizona Fall League. Might make the Big Leagues by late 2012."
  • 2012 Accomplishments: #2 Prospect and Best Fastball in Florida State League; #3 Best Prospect in Eastern League.
  • Conclusion: If there was any more wonder as to why the Diamondbacks traded away prize prospect Trevor Bauer, Cole might have known something about Bauer that others might not have as both were teammates at UCLA and both were high draft picks in 2011. Should be interesting to see how both pitchers' careers will continue to connect with each other. Sort of similar to the 2012 NFL QB Class of Andrew Luck, Robert Griffin III, Russell Wilson, etc. The Pirates are taking their time with Cole, but Cole is accelerating rapidly beginning his first year of Professional Baseball in High-A Ball and made one start in Triple-A in 2012. Last year, Cole posted dominant stats, but a BB/9 of 3.1 is a slight alarm. 
48. Matt Dominguez--3B--Houston Astros
  • 2012 Outlook: "Ready to play in the Majors, but bat is suspect."
  • 2012 Accomplishments: Best Defensive 3B in Pacific Coast League
  • Conclusion: Dominguez came to the Astros via Miami in a trade that sent Carlos Lee to the Marlins in July. Dominguez actually was called up to Houston in September, but instead of battling pitchers, he was battling a sore wrist and a stomach ailment that sidelined him throughout the month. Dominguez had shown decent discipline in Triple-A, although power numbers were lacking. In the Majors, however, he did hit .284 with a SLG% of .477, but his BB:K of .24 and on-base% of .310 did not fully display the discipline he had showcased in the Minors. His glove has always been his ticket to the Majors and the Astros are content with giving him a shot at the hot corner this season. Needless to say, he needs to start finding a way to put the bat on the ball.
47. James Darnell--3B--San Diego Padres
  • 2012 Outlook: "High average hitter with 20+ homerun power potential."
  • 2012 Accomplishments: N/A
  • Conclusion: Darnell spent most of his 2012 season on the DL with a left shoulder injury. Darnell had all ready proven that, despite power still in development, he can post a high contact rate and an even more impressive OBP%. The good news for Darnell in 25 games with the Padres, thus far, he has been able to display strong plate discipline. The smart money is to bet on Darnell to start 2013 in Triple-A, but has an outside chance of winning a bench role with the Padres. Either way, it's worth keeping an eye on Darnell throughout the upcoming season.
46. Trayvon Robinson--OF--Baltimore Orioles
  • 2012 Outlook: "Had a great spring training session (2012), but will be sent to the Minors. Might come up later in '12."
  • 2012 Accomplishments: N/A
  • Conclusion: Robinson was traded to the Baltimore Orioles for Robert Andino in the fall. Robinson had a tough time in the Majors last season and was all ready struggling in Triple-A Tacoma with lack of plate discipline, power, and on-base%. He might be able to compete for a 4th OF spot for the Orioles, but it's highly doubtful. 



Friday, December 28, 2012

2012 MLB PROSPECT REVIEW: #55-51





Felipe M.

The following is a review of a list that was compiled way back in March of 2012.  "2012 Outlooks" are based on a summation of scouting reports (entering the 2012 MLB season) of each player condensed into a sentence or two for easier reading.

55. Arodys Vizcaino--SP-Chicago Cubs
  • 2012 Outlook: "Higher ceiling than Randall Delgado (Braves), but might be used as relief pitcher in the interim."
  • 2012 Accomplishments: Underwent Tommy John surgery in March
  • Conclusion: In what proved to be one of many, wacky Cubs' transactions since the Theo Epstein era began, Vizcaino was the consolation prize for Ryan Dempster refusing to get traded to Atlanta where the Cubs had a chance to get hihgly touted Braves' prospect, Randall Delgado.  Instead, the Cubs traded Reed Johnson and Paul Maholm in late July and acquired the mending pitcher who is projected to compete for a rotation spot by 2014. He did post good numbers in the Minors before getting hurt. 
54. Anthony Rendon--3B--Washington Nationals
  • 2012 Outlook: "Might move to 2B; would increase value."
  • 2012 Accomplishments: Named to Arizona Fall League Top Prospects' Team; Moved from Rookie to Double-A ball
  • Conclusion: Rendon could do no wrong this season as he played a total of 43 games in 4 different classes for 4 different teams in the Minors.  Unfortunately, a fractured ankle injury limited his 2012 season.  He did post an .851 OPS and showcased great plate discipline and alongside a high contact rate. His Slash Line in the AFL were .338/.436/.494. Is considered to be on the outside looking in for the Nationals roster in 2013, but it seems that Rendon has nothing else to prove in the Minors. 
53. Nick Castellanos--3B--Detroit Tigers
  • 2012 Outlook: "Hit a lot of doubles in Minors. Still developing."
  • 2012 Accomplishments: Participated in AFL; #1 Tigers' prospect, as well as Best Hitter for Average and Strike Zone Discipline; #5 and #4 Prospect in Florida State League and Eastern League respectively--Best Batting Prospect in both league; 
  • Conclusion: Despite getting recognized for Strike Zone Discipline, he posted a BB:K of .31 in 2012. He also struggled with a .642 OPS in AFL, but even GM Dave Dombrowski admitted that the young prospect simply "ran out of gas."  He is listed as a 3B, but because of Miguel Cabrera, he has been forced to play in RF (Minors) and LF (in AFL). He posted great overal numbers in the Minors the last two seasons and at 6'4", 210 lbs, his high number of doubles (68 in last 2 seasons) makes him a future, potential power hitter in the Majors. Despite showing a decrease in plate discipline, he has a chance to make the Tigers as an OF in 2013 out of spring training. 
52. Chad Bettis--SP--Colorado Rockies
  • 2012 Outlook: "Dominated hitter-friendly California League. Long-term prospect."
  • 2012 Accomplishments: N/A
  • Conclusion: The Rockies shut down Bettis' 2012 due to shoulder injury suffered in April so he will be looking to bounce back in 2013. He has posted a 1.09 WHIP, 7.6 H/9, 2.2 BB/9, and 9.1 K/9 in his Minor League career so far. 
51. Josh Bell--OF--Pittsburgh Pirates
  • 2012 Outlook: 19, switch-hitter with great power potential. Long-term prospect."
  • 2012 Accomplishments: N/A
  • Conclusion: Bell's season was cut short because he underwent surgery to repair meniscus in left knee. He did appear in 15 games and made 66 plate appearances.  He would strike out once every 3 at bats and walked a total of two times.  Nevertheless, Bell remains a very long-term prospect. 

Wednesday, December 19, 2012

2012 MLB PROSPECT REVIEW: #75-71



Felipe M

The following is a review of a list that was compiled way back in March of 2012.  "2012 Outlooks" are based on a summation of scouting reports (entering the 2012 MLB season) of each player condensed into a sentence or two for easier reading.

75. Jeurys Familia--SP--New York Mets
  • 2012 Outlook: "Hard-thrower, but has control problems.  Might contribute in 2012."
  • 2012 Achievements: #14 International League Prospect; Made 8 pitching appearances for the Mets last season.
  • Conclusion: Familia's control problems did not get any better in the Minors last season, but after 28 starts, the Mets called him up anyway and placed him in their bullpen--he did not fare any better.  Despite the lack of results, many experts think he can be a closer, at best, for the Big League club and was reportedly going to pitch in the Dominican League as a reliever this fall. He will be competing to come out of the bullpen for the Mets in 2013.
74. Addison Reed--RP--Chicago White Sox
  • 2012 Outlook: "Competing for Closer's role in 2012." 
  • 2012 Achievements: Notched 29 saves for the White Sox
  • Conclusion: Very surprisingly, Reed did indeed end up being the closer on the South Side of Chicago, even though there was wide speculation that the Sox would option him back to the Minors out of Spring Training and wasn't named the official closer until late May.  He only had 2 full seasons of Minor League ball, but quickly moved up the White Sox system, making 56 appearances. He posted a respectable strikeout rate in the Majors and proved to have good control.  However, he did prove to be hittable (9.79 H/9 in 68 big league appearances) and is proving to be a flyball pitcher who pitches in a small ballpark in Chicago. Despite the need to improve his command, Reed looks to have the edge to close for the White Sox in 2013. 
73. Deck McGuire--P--Toronto Blue Jays
  • 2012 Outlook: "Might arrive mid-season. 'Safe,' but unspectacular."
  • 2012 Achievements: N/A
  • Conclusion: McGuire spent 2012 at Double-A, where he ended up having a disastrous season full of command and control issues and an inability to keep the ball in the park.  To top it off, his strikeout rate plummeted as well.  Clearly, he will need more time in Minors to fix his problems.
72. Taylor Green--2B--Milwaukee Brewers
  • 2012 Outlook: "Lit up AAA (in 2011).  The next Ben Zobrist."
  • 2012 Achievements: Played in Dominican League; Appeared in 103 at-bats for Brewers.
  • Conclusion: After struggling in Triple-A (decreased power numbers, on-base%, and BB:K), the Brewers called him up for infield depth. Green posted ordinary numbers for the big league club and at 26 years-old, Green's time is running out. 
71. Starling Marte--OF--Pittsburgh Pirates
  • 2012 Outlook: "Already fast with raw power. Needs to be more patient. Might join Big League Club in 2012.
  • 2012 Achievements: Played in Dominican League; #2 Prospect in International League as well as Best Batting Prospect, Defensive OF, and Most Exciting Player in League.
  • Conclusion: Marte played in 47 games for the Bucs last season and is expected to compete for LF spot in 2013. Marte has indeed displayed high contact rate and power potential in the last two seasons in the Minors, but has a lot of work to do in improving plate discipline.  Marte is also a decent base-stealer.



Tuesday, December 18, 2012

2012 MLB PROSPECT REVIEW: #85-81





Felipe M

The following is a review of a list that was compiled way back in March of 2012.  "2012 Outlooks" are based on a summation of scouting reports (entering the 2012 MLB season) of each player condensed into a sentence or two for easier reading.

85. Anthony Ranaudo--SP--Boston Red Sox
  • 2012 Outlook: "Will be ready to compete for rotation spot in 2013."
  • 2012 Achievements: Pitched in Puerto Rican League in the fall.
  • Conclusion: A nasty pattern has developed in Ranaudo's game--since A-Ball, his Hit and Walk rates have gone up while his K/9 have gone down. 2012 was no different as he continues to display command issues.  He's too young to give up on and standing at 6'7", 231 lbs., his big size might also be another reason for recent struggles as bigger pitchers tend to take a bit longer to develop.
84. Bobby Borchering--3B--Houston Astros
  • 2012 Outlook: "Will be moved to LF.  Still has plenty of power.  Long-term prospect at age 20."
  • 2012 Achievements: Played in Arizona Fall League.
  • Conclusion: Borchering was shipped to Houston from Arizona for Chris Johnson.  At such a young age, he's already played at 4 different positions (LF, RF, 1B, and 3B).  The versatility is there, but Borchering has a few more seasons to go before he can make an impact on the big league team.  He has pretty good power potential, but is very impatient at the plate posting low on-base% and striking out once every 3 at bats.
83. Jeff Locke--SP--Pittsburgh Pirates
  • 2012 Outlook: "Lefty with strong command.  Might make Majors by 2012."
  • 2012 Achievements: Made 8 pitching appearances in Majors; #9 International League prospect.
  • Conclusion: Locke has a propensity to be hittable, but reputation of having "strong command" followed him in the big leagues.  The low walk rate, high strikeout rate and decent WHIP that he posted in the Minors translated fairly well in the Majors last season.  He will most likely crack the Pirates' rotation.  If he does, he will make a solid, but unspectacular starting pitcher.
82. Liam Hendriks--SP--Minnesota Twins
  • 2012 Outlook: "Control artist to compete for rotation, but not likely to make opening day roster (2012)."
  • 2012 Achievements: Started 16 games for the Twins last season.
  • Conclusion: Hendriks is your prototypical Twins' pitching prospect--solid strikeout rate to go along with a very low walk rate and displays good command on his pitches. However, his K/9 has been dropping at every stop in the Minors since 2010, so that's a concern. Also has shown to be hittable so he might depend on defense to make plays for him rather on his stuff.  In the 16 games he pitched for the Twins, big-league hitters were able to take advantage of him last season.  Regardless of his struggles, he more than likely has the inside track on the Twins' starting rotation next season.
81. Jarred Cosart--P--Houston Astros
  • 2012 Outlook: "Ace potential, but could become a closer too."
  • 2012 Achievements: Started in AFL's Rising Stars Game; #7 Prospect in Houston Astros' system along with organization's Best Curveball. #19 Prospect in Texas League.
  • Conclusion: Cosart had the tough task in pitching in both the Texas and Pacific Coast League--two very hitter-friendly leagues. Predictably, his hit rate was high, but so was his walk rate (4.0 BB/9 in 2012).  K/9 rate was solid, but unspectacular. This could be attributed to the fact that Cosart has been working on keeping his pitches low in the strike zone.  Cosart has proven to be a groundball pitcher in his Minor League career.  Scouts have admired his raw talent, but the Astros would be content to see Cosart crack the Astros' roster in 2013 as their permanent closer. 






Prospects #90-86 can be viewed here.

Prospects #80-76 can be viewed here.