Dan P
Trades can happen for
many reasons and happen when we least expect it. Some NBA teams will be
trying to: shed money (Chicago Bulls),
rebuild (Boston Celtics), save embarrassment (L.A. Lakers/Brooklyn Nets), make one
last run (San Antonio Spurs), make
any run toward and in the playoffs (Milwaukee
Bucks/L.A. Clippers), and play
the role of “bored banker” (Dallas Mavericks/Bank of [Mark] Cuban).
Last week, I covered
the Bulls’
offer to the Toronto Raptors for Andrea Bargnani, but for the sake
of my sanity, we’ll focus on two players who could be moved before the deadline
that, perhaps on the right team, will dictate this year’s playoffs. The
first area NBA teams look to improve is in size and defense and there may be no
better example of that available than Kevin
Garnett. Weeks ago, the Celtics
lost All-Star point guard Rajon Rondo
to a horrific ACL injury that dealt a massive blow to their title chances in
2013. If not for a recent resurgence in record following that injury, a
deal for Garnett would be more likely but for the right package. GM
Danny Ainge will still have to consider the future. Let's say Kevin
Garnett for DeAndre Jordan/Eric Bledsoe of the Clippers. For the Celtics, they would obtain two young
athletic, future assets to help replenish their decaying core and the Clippers
believe they will get the piece to push them over the top this year.
Despite Garnett's age
and contract (3 years remaining) we can see below from this season what both
players have meant to their teams defensively and the clear difference Garnett
has been for the Celtics. I have highlighted net points in yellow for
both players and it's nothing short of astonishing.
On Court / Off Court
stats (Kevin Garnett)
Many stats are shown on
a 'per 48 minute' basis
Stat
|
ON
Court
|
OFF
Court
|
Net
|
Minutes
|
1468
|
938
|
61%
|
Defense:
Pts per 100 Poss.
|
100.2
|
109.7
|
-9.6
|
Net
Points per 100 Possessions
|
+2.3
|
-4.4
|
+6.6
|
Points
Scored
|
2812
|
1891
|
+921
|
Points
Allowed
|
2741
|
1963
|
+778
|
Net
Points
|
+71
|
-72
|
+143
|
On Court / Off Court stats (DeAndre Jordan)
Many stats are shown on a 'per 48 minute' basis
Stat
|
ON
Court
|
OFF
Court
|
Net
|
Minutes
|
1286
|
1213
|
51%
|
Defense:
Pts per 100 Poss.
|
107.3
|
99.2
|
+8.1
|
Net
Points per 100 Possessions
|
+5.8
|
+7.4
|
-1.6
|
Points
Scored
|
2726
|
2459
|
+267
|
Points
Allowed
|
2599
|
2273
|
+326
|
Net
Points
|
+127
|
+186
|
-59
|
The Celtics are a
143-point-deficit team when Garnett is on the bench in exactly 52 games played
this year. 143 points/52 games=2.75
points per game differential when Garnett sits. This may not seem like
too much, but considering the Celtics currently through the all-star break are
0.0 differential and only 4 games over .500, this is actually profound.
This of course is all happening while 36 year-old Garnett is averaging 30
minutes per game, the effects on point differential would only be worse if
those minutes were to decline.
The Clippers flushed
with talent and a deep team could afford to lose Bledsoe, whom has been a god-send
for the second unit this season. This
trade could be the evidence that Chris
Paul and Blake Griffin need to
see that the Clippers are serious title contenders this year. The other
sneaky part to this trade is what the Clippers will save in payroll if Garnett
decides to retire after this season ($11.5 million). But with a move to a
contender and Garnett's love of Los
Angeles, where he lives in the off-season, he may be too
competitive to let it go so quickly.
So clearly, there's still something left in Garnett's tank and though he might be useful to the Celtics, his services would be of better use with the Clippers.
No comments:
Post a Comment